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A GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS OF CONJUNCTIVE GROUND AND SURFACE WATER USE WITH AN APPLICATION TO MOROCCO AgEcon
Diao, Xinshen; Dinar, Ariel; Roe, Terry L.; Tsur, Yacov.
Groundwater resources (GW) account for nearly 30 percent of the world sustainable water supplies. Yet, this resource, which is fraught with externalities, has largely been left unregulated. The economic literature on GW is predominantly of a partial equilibrium type, taking the rest of the economy parametrically. We analyze GW regulation in a general equilibrium setting, focusing on the stabilization value of GW under natural (draught) and economic (rural-urban water transfer) shocks. A general equilibrium approach allows evaluating direct and indirect effects of GW regulation on agriculture and non-agriculture sectors and extends the scope for water policy. The analysis is applied to Morocco by extending an existing computable general equilibrium (CGE)...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7143
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A SIMPLE PROCEDURE TO EVALUATE EX-ANTE PRODUCER WELFARE UNDER PRICE UNCERTAINTY AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov.
We propose a simple and tractable procedure for evaluating producer welfare under price uncertainty. These properties are achieved at the cost of assuming constant absolute risk aversion, where risk attitude depends on the stock of wealth but not on the flow of income. Numerical examples corroborate the procedure's properties; the validity of the constant absolute risk aversion case as an approximation is discussed.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1991 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/13624
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ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION AND THE PRICING OF NATURAL RESOURCES: THE CASE OF UNMETERED WATER; Proceedings of the Fifth Joint Conference on Agriculture, Food, and the Environment, June 17-18, 1996, Padova, Italy AgEcon
Smith, Rodney B.W.; Tsur, Yacov.
This paper uses mechanism design theory to (i) propose a mechanism to price irrigation water when farmers are heterogeneous in their production technologies (adverse selection) and their individual water uses are unobserved (moral hazard) and (ii) discusses briefly when such a mechanism might be economically unreasonable. Unmetered irrigation water is often priced by imposing per-acre fees on cultivated acreage or by charging per-unit fees on observable inputs or outputs. The offered pricing procedure is based on the observed output and achieves a first-best outcome when implementation is free of transaction costs.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14368
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CERTAINTY EQUIVALENT PRICES AND PRODUCER WELFARE UNDER OUTPUT PRICE UNCERTAINTY AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov; Zilberman, David.
Producer welfare indices under price uncertainty are derived using the concept of certainty equivalent prices. In this approach the marginal cost function is used instead of the ex-ante supply function; the effects of uncertainty and risk preference are captured by certainty equivalent prices. Implications for welfare evaluation are discussed.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1989 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/13562
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Climate change policy in a growing economy under catastrophic risks AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov; Zemel, Amos.
Under risk of catastrophic climate change, the occurrence hazard is added to the social discount rate. As a result, the social discount rate (i) increases and (ii) turns endogenous to the global warming policy. The second effect bears profound policy implications that are magnifed by economic growth. In particular, it implies that green- house gases (GHG) emission should gradually be brought to a halt. Due to the public bad nature of the catastrophic risk, the second effect is ignored in a competitive allocation and unregulated economic growth will give rise to excessive emissions. We find that the GHG emission paths under the optimal and competitive growth regimes lie at the extreme ends of the range of feasible emissions. We derive the Pigouvian hazard...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Abrupt climate change; Environmental catastrophes; Economic growth; Emission policy; Hazard rate; Environmental Economics and Policy; H23; H41; O13; O40; Q54; Q58.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7132
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CLIMATE POLICY WHEN THE DISTANT FUTURE MATTERS: CATASTROPHIC EVENTS WITH HYPERBOLIC DISCOUNTING AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Tsur, Yacov.
Low probability catastrophic climate change can have a signifcant influence on policy under hyperbolic discounting. We compare the set of Markov Perfect Equilibria (MPE) to the optimal policy under time-consistent commitment. For some initial levels of risk there are multiple MPE; these may involve either excessive or insufficient stabilization effort. These results imply that even if the free-rider problem amongst contemporaneous decision-makers were solved, there may remain a coordination problem amongst successive generations of decision-makers. A numerical example shows that under plausible conditions society should respond vigorously to the threat of climate change.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Abrupt climate change; Event uncertainty; Catastrophic risk; Hyperbolic discounting; Markov Perfect Equilibria; Environmental Economics and Policy; C61; C73; D63; D99; Q54.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7181
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Climate Policy When the Distant Future Matters: Catastrophic Events with Hyperbolic Discounting AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Tsur, Yacov.
Low probability catastrophic climate change can have a significant influence on policy under hyperbolic discounting. We compare the set of Markov Perfect Equilibria (MPE) to the optimal policy under time-consistent commitment. For some initial levels of risk there are multiple MPE; these may involve either excessive or insufficient stabilization effort. These results imply that even if the free-rider problem amongst contemporaneous decision-makers were solved, there may remain a coordination problem amongst successive generations of decision-makers. A numerical example shows that under plausible conditions society should respond vigorously to the threat of climate change.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Abrupt climate change; Event uncertainty; Catastrophic risk; Hyperbolic discounting; Markov Perfect Equilibria; Environmental Economics and Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; C61; C73; D63; D99; Q54.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7186
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COOPERATIVE LABOR ALLOCATION UNDER UNCERTAINTY AgEcon
Parliament, Claudia; Tsur, Yacov; Zilberman, David.
Understanding the allocation of labor between collective and private activities within cooperatives has been an issue of interest for economists and policy makers. This paper extends existing literature by incorporating income uncertainty from both private and collective activities, and by assuming that members are risk averse. The analysis suggests a member's labor response to policy parameters can be decomposed into three components: the mean effect, reflecting the labor response under certainty or risk neutrality; the variance effect, reflecting the response to changes in risk; and the wealth effect, reflecting the response to changes in risk aversion associated with changes in wealth. The analysis demonstrates the labor response may be reversed from...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Labor and Human Capital.
Ano: 1986 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/13672
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DISCOUNTING AND CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Tsur, Yacov.
A constant social discount rate cannot reflect both a reasonable opportunity cost of public funds and an ethically defensible concern for generations in the distant future. We use a model of hyperbolic discounting that achieves both goals. We imbed this discounting model in a simple climate change model to calculate constant equivalent discount rates" and plausible levels of expenditure to control climate change. We compare these results to discounting assumptions and policy recommendations in the Stern Review on Climate Change.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Discounting; Climate change modeling; Stern Review; Markov Perfect Equilibria; Environmental Economics and Policy; C61; C73; D63; D99; Q54.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7149
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Discounting and Climate Change Policy AgEcon
Karp, Larry S.; Tsur, Yacov.
A constant social discount rate cannot reflect both a reasonable opportunity cost of public funds and an ethically defensible concern for generations in the distant future. We use a model of hyperbolic discounting that achieves both goals. We imbed this discounting model in a simple climate change model to calculate “constant equivalent discount rates” and plausible levels of expenditure to control climate change. We compare these results to discounting assumptions and policy recommendations in the Stern Review on Climate Change
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7192
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Dynamic and stochastic analysis of environmental and natural resources AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov; Zemel, Amos.
Uncertainty enters the dynamic tradeoffs of environmental and natural resource management in a variety of ways and forms. In this chapter we review the various sources of uncertainty, the methodologies developed to account for them and implications regarding management of environmental and natural resources.
Tipo: Article Palavras-chave: Resource management; Environmental policy; Uncertainty; Catastrophic events; Irreversibility.; Environmental Economics and Policy; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/120017
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Dynamic regulation of nonpoint source pollution when the number of emitters is large AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov; de Gorter, Harry.
When a nonpoint source pollution process involves many polluters, each taking his own contribution to aggregate pollution to be negligible, ambient-based policies become ineffective due to lack of strategic interactions between dischargers. We offer a regulation mechanism for this case. The mechanism consists of inter-period and intra-period components. The first exploits ambient (aggregate) information to derive the optimal pollution and aggregate emission processes and the ensuing social price of emission. The intra-period mechanism takes as given the social price of emission and implements the optimal output-abatement-emission allocation across the heterogenous, privately informed firms in each time period. The mechanism gives rise to the full...
Tipo: Article Palavras-chave: Nonpoint source pollution; Abatement; Stock externality; Dynamic regulation; Markov decision process; Asymmetric information; Crop Production/Industries; C61; D82; H23; L51; Q58.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/122124
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DYNAMIC-SPATIAL MANAGEMENT OF COASTAL AQUIFERS AgEcon
Kan, Iddo; Leizarowitz, Arie; Tsur, Yacov.
We analyze the management of a coastal aquifer under seawater intrusion using distributed control methods. The aquifer's state is taken as the water head elevation, which varies with time and in space since extraction, natural recharge and lateral water flows vary with time and in space. The water head, in turn, induces a temporal-spatial seawater intrusion process, which changes the volume of fresh water in the aquifer. Under reasonable conditions we show that the optimal state converges to a steady state process that is constant in time. We characterize the optimal steady state process in terms of a standard control problem (in space) and offer a tractable algorithm to solve for it.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Distributed control; Groundwater; Optimal exploitation; Seawater intrusion; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; C61; C62; Q25.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7131
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ENDANGERED AQUIFERS: GROUNDWATER MANAGEMENT UNDER THREATS OF CATASTROPHIC EVENTS AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov; Zemel, Amos.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14993
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Endangered Species and Natural Resource Exploitation: Extinction vs. Coexistence AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov; Zemel, Amos.
The threat on the survival of animal species due to intensive use of natural resources is incorporated within resource management models, paying special attention to uncertainty regarding the conditions that lead to extinction. The manner in which the potential benefits forgone due to the species extinction (denoted extinction penalty) induce more conservative exploitation policies is studied in detail. When the extinction penalty is ignored, the optimal policy is to drive the resource stock to a particular equilibrium level from any initial state. When the extinction penalty is considered and the conditions that lead to extinction are not fully understood (i.e., involve uncertainty), an interval of equilibrium states is identified, which depends on the...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 1994 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7498
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Endogenous Discounting and Climate Policy AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov; Zemel, Amos.
Under risk of abrupt climate change, the occurrence hazard is added to the social discount rate. As a result, the social discount rate (i) increases and (ii) turns endogenous to the global warming policy. The second effect bears profound policy implications that are magnified by economic growth. In particular, we find that greenhouse gases (GHG) emission should be terminated at a finite time so that the ensuing occurrence risk will vanish in the long run. Due to the public bad nature of the catastrophic risk, the second effect is ignored in a competitive allocation and unregulated economic growth will give rise to excessive emissions. In fact, the GHG emission paths under the optimal and competitive growth regimes lie at the extreme ends of the range of...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Abrupt climate change; Hazard rate; Discounting; Economic growth; Emission policy; H23; H41; O13; O40; Q54; Q58.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37944
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ENDOGENOUS RECOMBINANT GROWTH AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov; Zemel, Amos.
We extend Weitzman's (1998) recombinant growth framework to include endogenous R&D decisions. The analysis is carried out in the (knowledge-capital) state space by means of two characteristic curves: one is identified as a turnpike along which growing economies evolve; the other attracts stagnating economies. Sustained growth depends on a condition relating the slopes of the characteristic curves as well as on a minimal endowment requirement. A growing economy reaches the turnpike at a most rapid R&D rate and evolves along it thereafter. In the long run, the rate of growth and the income shares devoted to R&D, saving and consumption approach constant values that depend on the asymptotic characteristic slopes.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Knowledge generation; Combined ideas; Endogenous R&D; Balanced growth; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C61; O31; O41.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7135
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EXPLAINING PRICE POLICY BIAS IN AGRICULTURE: A POLITICIAN-VOTER INTERACTION APPROACH AgEcon
de Gorter, Harry; Tsur, Yacov.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 1989 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/13388
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GROUNDWATER CONTAMINATION AND THE MANAGEMENT OF A CONJUNCTIVE GROUND AND SURFACE WATER IRRIGATION SYSTEM AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov.
Irrigation water (including rainfall) that infiltrates the subsurface carries salts, pesticide and fertilizer residues, and other trace elements, thus causing a contamination of aquifers and soils. A similar situation occurs when irrigating with saline groundwater (aquifers containing saline water often are found in arid and semi-arid regions, where agricultural production depends critically on groundwater irrigation). Evaporation of the irrigation water increases salt concentration, causing salinization of soils and aquifers. Although not immediately noticeable, these quality deterioration processes will have long-term effects and therefore require careful management. The paper describes a general framework for the intertemporal management of a...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 1990 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/13910
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GROWTH, SCARCITY AND R&D AgEcon
Tsur, Yacov; Zemel, Amos.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International Development.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14994
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